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What a Rebuild Might Look Like? PART TWO
Heading into the season, the Pirates are in full-blown rebuild mode, so we’re not expecting much from the club. In fact, I’ll zoom ahead to the draft.
- 1.07 - Prep OF Braylon Bishop
- 2.07 - College RHP Spencer Schwellenback (Nebraska)
- 3.07 - College OF Curtis Washington Jr. (Arkansas)
- 4.07 - College INF Tyler Black (Wright State)
- 5.07 - College LHP Luke Bartnicki (GT)
None of the top 5 selections really burst onto the scene, so we’ll keep track of them moving forward, but as it stands.. None stood out. However, Bishop has been ranked 68th in the top 100 prospects.
CALL - UPS
My first shuffle of talent typically happens after all my draft picks sign, and that’s usually mid-June. This falls after the floating Super-2 deadline, so it’s a perfect time to make some moves. This year it was a relatively easy decision as I knew the two players that were knocking on the door. Oneil Cruz and Sam Huff were called up to handle the DH and Catcher positions respectively.
- Toronto Blue Jays receive: Jameson Taillon
- Pittsburgh receive: INF Orelvis Martinez
FANGRAPHS TRADE VALUE -- Martinez $28M . BASEBALL TRADE VALUES -- Martinez $20.6M for Taillon $25.8M
Taillon is the final major piece that I intend to move for quite some time. It just so happened that Toronto was in first place at the deadline, so an opportunity for Cherington and Sanders to pick from their old farm’s harvest worked out well here. Martinez is Toronto’s #4 prospect and Longenhagen sees him as a wide variance player that has a lot to clean up in his swing. He has an extremely loud power tool (60 Raw) that is enticing to Pittsburgh. He’s far enough away, and getting 1.5 years of Taillon was enough to make this deal. Unfortunately for Toronto, Taillon wasn’t enough to keep them in the lead for the division, and they actually missed the playoffs on the last day of the season.
I struggle with evaluating Taillon. I do not necessarily agree that he is worth $25M. My personal evaluation/projection for 2021-2022 would be around $15M due to rather large arbitration valuations. Utilizing his injury track record and lower salary in 2020, his first year of arbitration, one could estimate lower overall arbitration valuations in those years. If you are a bit more bearish on those estimates, his present value WAR would drive up that surplus. Of course, taking into account injury could also lower it. I'm still relatively comfortable saying that Toronto, in a pennant race, could make a move like this to get a potential ace.
END OF SEASON:
The Pirates ended the year a paltry 63-99 which meant that they would be selecting 3rd in the 2022 draft. Musgrove was lost for 15 months due to an elbow tendon injury which is pretty devastating. Jason Martin was certainly the surprise of the year. I couldn’t keep him off the field! I wanted to present some stat lines for significant players throughout the system:
- Mitch Keller: 9-13 4.24 ERA in 186.2 IP and 216 K and 71 BB -- 3.4 WAR
- Sam Huff: .253/.295/.438 93 OPS+ 7 HRs and 23 RBIs in 47 games -- 0.6 WAR
- Kevin Newman: .231/.277/.323 61 OPS+ 6 HRs and 52 RBIs in 155 games -- -0.3 WAR
- Ke’Bryan Hayes (ASG): .269/.337/.425 103 OPS+ 16 HRs and 77 RBI in 155 games -- 3.8 WAR
- Cole Tucker: .261/.342/.424 104 OPS+ 12 HRs and 48 RBI in 114 games -- 2.2 WAR
- Jason Martin: .267/.360/.483 124 OPS+ 22 HRs and 78 RBI in 132 games -- 3.1 WAR
- Bryan Reynolds: .283/.338/.475 115 OPS+ 25 HRs and 83 RBI in 154 games -- 2.9 WAR
- Oneil Cruz: .251/.306/.462 102 OPS+ 6 HRs and 23 RBI in 49 games -- 0.2 WAR
- Nick Gonzales - After destroying A+ ball with a slash line of .343/.420/.527 (154 OPS+ & 3.0 WAR) in 62 games, Gonzales made the jump to Altoona where he hit .288/.349/.440. He’ll stay there to start the 2022 season, but should move up quickly if he continues to hit.
- Liover Peguero - In 2020, Peguero was a monster in Single-A Greensboro. He slashed .343/.426/.521 over the course of 132 games for 6.3 WAR. However, he was injured early in 2021, and played only 11 games.
Only one of note here, and that’s Trevor Williams. With one year left on his deal, Cherington offered him a 2 yea$7.2M deal to stay in Pittsburgh through 2024. Trevor’s a fan favorite, and that’s a pretty cheap deal for a #4. For those keeping score, that’s Musgrove/KelleWilliams all locked up through at least 2024. Stability. Leadership.
- Andrew McCutchen - 2 years/$3M -- Cutch comes home in the twilight of his career! This one is obviously for sentimental value, he’s not expected to contribute significant innings. He got the fans excited, and he can retire a Pirate.
- Chris Archer - 3 years / $4M -- Am I just getting the band back together? No. Archer was too expensive when he left, but now he had to settle for a team-friendly deal and my intention is to utilize his skill-set as a high-leverage relievecloser. And at that price, he can quickly create surplus value for a future trade. And if he doesn’t pan out, that third year is a team option.
- Brock Holt - 1 year / $1.5M -- Fun fact, I worked for the State College Spikes when the Pirates drafted Holt back in 2009 and he was awesome. I admired how he genuinely had love for the game. That has shown in his versatility and value he brought in Boston. Well, now he’s back and can provide a veteran presence to a young team.
- San Diego receives: Michael Feliz
- Pittsburgh receives: LHP Seth Romero and INF Owen Miller
This trade was to reduce some salary while getting something for Feliz before he left on his own. Romero is currently in the Washington farm system, so he made his way to the Friars by way of a previous trade or the waiver wire. However, as a reliever, he provides incredible value as he is a lefty and his stuff is truly electric (70 grade). I don’t know about Miller in real life, but in the game he has a solid hit tool and pitch selection. When in doubt, I look for players with that combination.
2022 OPENING DAY PITCHING STAFF
- SP Mitch Keller
- SP Trevor Williams
- SP Chris Stratton
- SP Steven Brault
- SP Hector Noesi (Musgrove still on IL)
- RP Blake Weiman
- RP JT Brubaker
- RP Chad Kuhl
- RP Kyle Crick
- RP Edgar Santana
- RP Seth Romero
- RP Blake Cederlind
- CL Chris Archer
- SS Cole Tucker
- 3B Ke’Bryan Hayes
- DH Bryan Reynolds
- CA Sam Huff
- LF Jason Martin
- 1B Will Craig
- RF Oneil Cruz
- 2B Kevin Newman
- CF Jackie Bradley Jr
- BN Andrew McCutchen
- BN Brock Holt
- BN Jacob Stallings
- BN Jose Osuna
Links to charities, way to donate and volunteer.
- Avoiding Scams
- Fundraising, Donating & Volunteering
---2B. Support Fundraisers
---2C. Donate Items
- OFFICIAL Bushfire Information Resources
- UNOFFICIAL Bushfire Survival Guide
- Further Resources
1. Avoiding ScamsBushfires and scams
There are currently a wide range of appeals raising funds for people and animals affected by the bushfires. Unfortunately, some of these are scams.
People can make a report on the Scamwatch website, or find more information about where to get help. The ACCC has also set up a dedicated phone number for the public to report bushfire related scams. People can call 1300 795 995 to report these scams.
If you wish to make a donation towards those affected by the bushfires, please protect yourself with the following information:
- Scammers are pretending to be legitimate well-known charities, creating their own charity names, and impersonating people negatively impacted by the bushfires.
- Scammers are cold-calling, direct messaging and creating fake websites and pages on social media to raise funds.
- Do not donate via fundraising pages on platforms that do not verify the legitimacy of the fundraiser or that do not guarantee your money will be returned if the page is determined to be fraudulent.
- Be careful about crowdfunding requests as these may be fake and also come from scammers. Check the terms and conditions of funding platforms and ensure you are dealing with official organisations. If you are unsure, make your donation to an established charity instead.
- If you are donating to an established charity or not-for-profit organisation, ensure it is registered and that you are on its official website by searching the Australia Charities and Not-for-profits Commission Charity Register.
- If you think you have paid money to a scammer, please contact your bank immediately.
2. FUNDRAISING, DONATING & VOLUNTEERING
2A . DONATE MONEYCharity Search
ACNC Charity Registery - Check the validity of charities you want to donate to. All below charities and links have been checked via this tool.
Major Community Relief
- Red Cross Disaster Recovery - Recovery programs and emergency assistance in communities affected by disasters
- Salvation Army Disaster Appeal - Providing support including essential items to evacuees and frontline responders
- St Vincent de Paul Society Bushfire Appeal - Helping those affected with food, clothing, furniture & other essentials
- Gippsland Emergency Relief Fund - Relief fund for South Eastern VIC
- South Australia Disaster Relief - As the fires in SA get worse, the premier there has activated the disaster relief fund
- SES (State Emergency Service)- NSW / VIC / SA - Helps Australians in emergency situations
- NSW RFS Donations - The NSW Rural Fire Service
- VIC CFA- The VIC Rural Fire service
- BlazeAid - Helps to rebuild fences and other structures that have been damaged or destroyed
- Victorian Farmer's Federation - Fodder relief for farmers affected by bushfires in Gippsland and the Upper Murray
- NSW Farmer's Association - Providing relief to farmers affected in NSW
- Animal Welfare League - On the ground with mobile vet centres in crisis areas, relies on donations
- WIRES - A major charity supporting native animals
- Australian Conservation Foundation - National environmental organisation. Independent & non-partisan
- Australian Marine Conservation Society - Staffed by a committed group of scientists, educators and advocates
- BeyondBlue - Information and support to help everyone in Australia with their mental health
- Rural and Remote Mental Health - Delivering early intervention & prevention based mental health programs
- Thread Together - Works with clothing retailers to provide clothes in various emergency situations.
- Human Appeal - Working with the Australian Islamic Centre to provide emergency supplies to people in evacuation centres.
2B . SUPPORT FUNDRAISERSA list of products you can buy to support bushfire fundraisers.
Support rural business
- Spend With Them - Help rebuild towns and businesses affected by fire by supporting local business
- Buy From The Bush showcases many small, rural community businesses you can support through purchases
- One Day Closer to Rain Same as above, showcasing small business to support by buying locally made goods
- Authors For Fireys - A Twitter auction channelling funds directly to the CFA to support firefighters
- The Naked Philanthropist- Nudes for donations! You read right. HERE is an article about it.
- The Original Wiggles Reunion - Reunion concert for bush fire relief
- GenerOZity - Australian content creators doing streams for charity
- Lost Property Clothing - 100% of profits go to fire relief until Jan 15.
- Frank Body - 100% of their 'A-Beauty Scrub' will go to disaster relief for all of January.
- Hansel and Gretel - All profits from their 'Shoalhaven Hat' go to disaster relief.
- The OTHER Bag - Eco bags. All profits from this weeks sales will be donated to Red Cross.
- BY NYE - Jewellery. Item raffle for donations to certain charities in January.
- Art Fights Fire - Online art auction raising funds for the CFA
- Mikaela Jane - Physical prints of Australian themed art.
- Ginger Taylor- Digital prints of Australian themed art.
- Little Gold Studios - Tattoo raffle for The Rescue Collective.
- LucysTattoos - Flash tattoo designs for charity.
- FLT Tattoo Studio - Selling flash designs online and raising money from in-house tattoos.
- Georgia Swale - Tattoos & Australian watercolour art.
How to Fundraise
- How To Raise Money for a Cause - Tips on how to launch a successful fundraiser.
- Lots of Fundraising Ideas - Ideas for fundraising events
2C . DONATE ITEMSDonating Household Items & Food
Please be aware, charities like the Red Cross DO NOT have the capacity to be taking items/food you would like to donate. The Victorian Minister has said today (05.01.20) that item donation is currently exceeding the capacity they have to accept, store and distribute items. Please consider other ways to help.
Donate Blood, Plasma and Breast Milk
- Donate Blood and Plasma - Red Cross - Blood and Plasma are always important, moreso in a crisis.
- Milk Bank - Red Cross - Breastfeeding Mothers can assist babies who need milk.
- Mother's Milk Bank - Breastfeeding Mothers can assist babies who need milk.
- WIRES a list of items needed to help house native animals
- Knit for WIRES information for knitters about how to help create joey pouches for orphaned animals
- Animal Rescue Craft Guild - Sewing for animal rescue
- RSPCA - NSW / VIC / SA a list of state contacts to donate items for displaced domestic animals
- Need for Feed- Providing donated hay, pet food and essentials to drought and fire-affected farmers in Australia
- Tutorial for making animal pouches
- AirBnB Open Homes - AirBnB has a function that allows you to offer temporary accodomodation to relief workers and evacuees.
- FindABed - A place where people with a spare bed and people who need a place for themselves or their animals can connect.
- Helping Homes - Connecting people and pets & livestock with temporary housing.
- FoodBank Provides food relief in the wake of natural disasters. Donations will go towards providing essential supplies to support emergency workers and affected communities as they recover.
UPDATE 07.01.20 - Although common items are at capacity, UNCOMMON, HIGH-VALUE ITEMS ARE REQUIRED. Click here for my post about what is required in the coming months.
Please do not deliver unsolicited items to evacuation centres, community recovery hubs or affected areas. Contact the below charities if you have anything to offer.
- Givit! - Accepts all types of household items for effected people. Have not confirmed if international donations are accepeted, but the enquiry form allows for addresses outside Australia.
- The Bower - Sydney Metro locations. Reclaiming household items for reuse, repair and resale. Proivding additional services for the bushfire emergency.
2D . VOLUNTEERDue the dangerous nature of the fires, only trained emergency services volunteers are able to respond in disaster-effected areas.
Volunteering in your state
- LandCare Australia - Help reforest Australia.
- GoVolunteer - Places near you that need volunteers for all different situations out of immediate danger.
Please note you will not immediately be deployed into the field if you volunteer with the Rural Fire Service. There is a process for induction, background checks and training for all of the services. Although you probably can't help now, signing up means you can help your community in the future. Please consider your communities future and volunteer if you can.
3. OFFICIAL Bushfire Information ResourcesAustralia's fire authorities have officially endorsed the following resources
- How to provide FIRST-AID for BURNS (St John of God)
- Report fires to the fire authorities (phone 000)
- Fires near me: Australia-wide (Android app)
- ABC Radio: Frequency Finder
- ABC News' guidelines for what to do before, during and after a bushfire
- Report Arsonists to CrimeStoppers (phone 1800 333 000)
- Emergency & disaster recovery resources (national and state)
- Let people know you are safe
- The Emergency+ app allows you to give your exact location to 000 operators
- SCAMWATCH - Make sure you are donating and fundraising responsibly.
4. UNOFFICIAL Bushfire Survival GuideClick HERE for user-submitted advice about protecting yourself and your home from a fire, FIRST AID and more
5. Further Resources
- National Warnings (Bureau of Meteorology)
- Lifeline (24h counselling service): Call 13 1114
- Kid’s Help Line (counselling for young people): Call 1800 55 1800
- Resources to support family mental wellbeing (Australian Government)
- Financial assistance options (Australian government): Call 180 22 66
- Get support (Salvation Army)
- Get support (Red Cross)
- Apply for a Grant (Commonwealth Bank)
- Apply for a Grant (National Australia Bank)
- Firefighters / SES only:
- Apply for a discount on your gas or electricity bill (AGL)
- Apply for $0 phone bill during the fire season (Telstra, Optus and Vodafone)
- Podcast for after the emergency (Red Cross)